I am on a trip to China again. It is raining this morning here in Beijing. Like many other things, rain means something different to the Chinese than to Western cultures. It is seen as good luck, actually, since mother earth needs rain. Not sure if everybody still thinks that way but the Chinese certainly have a different way of doing things than what we are used to in many other places.
This trip was very rushed as I had a few - but important - business meetings to attend and then take the flight back again. No time for any tourist activities other than yesterday late afternoon's trip to the silk and pearl market looking for cheap clothes. Of course if dozens of Chinese "skilled" sales people try to "convince" you of their wares you end up buying too much. No difference for me. Prices are still very low of course although you can clearly see that things keep getting more expensive. I also had the feeling that shoppers are more quality aware and want not just good prices but also better products. E.g. a Mongolian cashmere shop was one of the biggest in this big market and business was obviously doing very well. Their quality and prices were outstanding which meants I was unable to resist buying a nice pullover. One of my customers got three...
While the China government is under lots of political pressure right now things are going as usual in the country and no signs of it anywhere. The Chinese are used to taking things as they are since they cannot influence them anyway.
In its attempt to catch up with with the West, wireless technologies have been defined as a political subject and the Chinese government has a big interest in establishing its own wireless standard - and with that becoming independent of Western suppliers. So is the theory. China Mobile is reported to have invested in 2007 2.85 billion USD in a TD-SCDMA trial network in 8 cities in China. Even with more than 500 million mobile phone users in China this is still a lot of money since of course ARPU is also still much lower than in other places. Rumors are though that TD-SCDMA will never see a large-scale deployment as it is technologically inferior to 3G and much delayed. To overcome a possible face-loss, rumor has it that China will decide to go for LTE-TDD, a new version of the next generation wireless technology LTE. We will see.
During my current trip this story has been confirmed by local insiders I could talk to. So we might actually never hear any official "TD-SCMA is dead" news, but a silent transition to whatever they decide next or in the interim. That keeps the story alive without anyone losing face either. The Chinese are flexible, as is well known.